Updated
11 October, 2003
|
From Discovery to Comparative Analysis:
Introduction |
| |
Scientific inquiry
Observations and Monitoring
Systems
Decision-Support Resources
|
 |
Because of the scientific accomplishments of the
U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) and
other research programs during the last decade, a period that could be
termed a productive "period of discovery and characterization,"
the
Climate Change Research Initiative (CCRI), in coordination with the USGCRP, will move into a new "period
of comparative analysis of response strategies." In this new phase
of the climate science programs, information that allows comparisons of
the potential consequences of different responses to global changes, including
climate change, will be developed. However, even as some programs move
to develop focused, comparative studies, the USGCRP will need to continue
to actively support fundamental, discovery-driven research that tests basic
assumptions and substantially increases the understanding of cause-effect
relationships, and that contributes to reducing key scientific uncertainties.
Future plans for the combined USGCRP and CCRI will focus on three broad
tiers of activities:
-
scientific inquiry, which has been the core activity
over the years, with several key issues continuing to await resolution;
-
observations and monitoring systems; and
-
development of decision-support
resources, potentially including analyses of projected environmental,
economic, and energy system outcomes of various proposed scenarios.
The
CCRI will supplement the ongoing USGCRP by focusing elements of each of
these three tiers, where significant 2-to-5 year improvements in decision-relevant
information is possible. Pursuing the third tier in a meaningful way will
require significant, sustained progress under the first and second tiers.
|
|
| US Climate
Change Science Program, Suite 250, 1717 Pennsylvania Ave, NW, Washington,
DC 20006. Tel: +1 202 223 6262. Fax: +1 202 223 3065. Email: .
Web: www.climatescience.gov.
Webmaster: |
|
|