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Updated 11 October, 2003

Strategic Plan for the Climate Change Science Program Final Report, July 2003

Figure 6-4
from Annex C
(Graphics and Photography Source Information)

Figure 6-4: The map on the left is a true reflection of land use types as of 1994 in the seven-county area of central Maryland and the map on the right is the predicted distribution of land use types based on a ‘polycentric' city model. Comparing the two maps, one sees remarkable similarity in commercial, high, and medium densities, but disagreement in the low density residential category. This finding is important because it is this fragmented, low density residential development that is consuming a disproportionate amount of open space and is causing high public service costs and possibly large environmental costs. Models with better projections of this type of development will better support development-related decisionmaking. Work is being done with grants from NASA to develop models that can predict this type of development. Source: Nancy Bockstael, University of Maryland.

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